Bournemouth

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1-1

Everton

Away
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Premier League · Vitality Stadium

Prediction

Bournemouth 32% Draw 29% Everton 39%

BTTS

Yes 50% / No 50%

Goals O/U 2.5

Over 52% / Under 48%

Most Likely Scores

1-1 12.6% 0-1 10.4% 1-0 9.3% 1-2 8.6% 0-0 7.7%

Analysis

**Retrospective: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton** The final scoreline at the Vitality Stadium saw the hosts extend their unbeaten league run to three, but they failed to convert their recent momentum into a win. Bournemouth’s LDDWW form had suggested a side finding rhythm, yet they were held by an Everton outfit that arrived winless in four (WLLDD). The Toffees’ resilience paid off, and the 1-1 draw reflects a contest where neither side could seize full control—a result that slightly flatters the visitors’ poor away record.

**Prediction Assessment: Correct Call** Our model’s pre-match probabilities—home 32%, draw 29%, away 39%—pointed to a tight, low-scoring affair, and the 1-1 outcome validates that uncertainty. Notably, the historical head-to-head heavily favored Bournemouth (4W, 0D, 1L in the last five), but that edge did not materialize on the day. Given Everton’s recent winless streak, the draw was a logical middle ground, and our pick correctly avoided overrating home dominance. The lack of xG data forces reliance on form and H2H, but the final score aligns squarely with a match where chances were likely shared—no invented metrics needed to see the prediction held.

Recent Form

Bournemouth

L D D W W

Everton

W L L D D

Head to Head

4W 0D 1L last 5 meetings (home perspective)
  • Everton 1-2 Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth 0-1 Everton
  • Everton 0-3 Bournemouth
  • Everton 0-2 Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth 1-0 Everton

Key Statistics

Metric Bournemouth Everton
League Position #15 #10
Points 2 4
W / D / L 0 / 2 / 1 1 / 1 / 0
Goal Difference -1 +2
Form (last 5) LDD WD
Goals Per Game 1.33 1.50
Goals Against / Game 1.67 0.50
Clean Sheet % 0% 50%
BTTS % 100% 50%
Over 2.5 % 67% 0%

League Standing

Bournemouth

Position #15
Points 2
W / D / L 0 / 2 / 1
Goal Diff -1
Form
L D D

Everton

Position #10
Points 4
W / D / L 1 / 1 / 0
Goal Diff +2
Form
W D

Full Time

1-1 Prediction Correct

Our pre-match call was correct .

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