Prediction

Analysis

Crystal Palace walk into Selhurst Park carrying real weight from their recent run. Their last five league outings read LLWLD, meaning they’ve taken just four points from a possible fifteen, and defensive solidity has frayed at the edges. The home crowd won’t be enough to mask that pattern if the midfield gets overrun, especially against an Ipswich side that arrives in far healthier rhythm. The visitors have gone LWWDD across their last five, banking eight points and showing a knack for stealing results late — that unbeaten four-game stretch suggests real belief in Kieran McKenna’s setup.

The head-to-head history is a brutal caveat for Ipswich: in the last five meetings, Crystal Palace have won all five, with no draws. That dominance is the single strongest statistical anchor here, and it can’t be dismissed. But the model’s prediction flips the script outright — it gives Ipswich a 46% win probability, Palace just 38%, with 16% for a draw. That’s a notable gap, and it aligns with the form contrast: Palace are sliding while Ipswich are trending up.

So what do the numbers actually tell us? The H2H screams “Palace,” but recent form and the model both lean “away.” Since detailed xG isn’t available, we lean on the raw outcomes: Palace’s two wins in ten league matches this season (per their form) versus Ipswich’s three wins in five. I’d trust the model’s split here — expect Ipswich to press high, force turnovers, and finally break that H2H curse. A 1-2 or 0-1 away win feels more probable than a Palace clean sweep. Back the 46% side, just don’t ignore that Palace’s five-game streak is exactly the kind

Recent Form

Head to Head

• Crystal Palace 1-0 Ipswich
• Ipswich 0-1 Crystal Palace
• Crystal Palace 4-2 Ipswich
• Ipswich 0-1 Crystal Palace
• Crystal Palace 2-1 Ipswich

Key Statistics

League Standing