D. La Serena

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Nublense

Away
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Primera División (Chile)

Prediction

D. La Serena 35% Draw 24% Nublense 41%

BTTS

Yes 62% / No 38%

Goals O/U 2.5

Over 74% / Under 26%

Most Likely Scores

1-1 11.2% 1-2 8.7% 2-1 8.1% 0-1 7.8% 1-0 7.2%

Analysis

Deportes La Serena return home carrying a patchy WDWDL run, a profile that screams inconsistency rather than fortress-level reliability. Their two wins in the last five are balanced by a defeat and a draw, and with no recent head-to-head meetings against Nublense, there’s zero historical safety net to lean on. The model gives them just a 35% shot at three points, which feels fair for a side that hasn’t stacked consecutive results to project momentum. You’d want to see evidence of defensive solidity or a scoring burst, but the form line alone doesn’t offer that clarity.

Nublense, meanwhile, arrive with an away form of LWWD—only one loss in their last four on the road, which is a quietly sturdy platform. That unbeaten-leaning trend, combined with a 41% win probability (the highest in the match), suggests the visitors carry a slight edge in current execution. The 24% draw share keeps a stalemate plausible, but Nublense’s ability to avoid defeats away from home tilts the balance. Without xG to dissect shot quality, we’re left with raw outcomes: Serena’s mixed bag versus Nublense’s steadier recent path. The model’s lean toward the visitor isn’t a landslide, but it rewards the more consistent recent pattern. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair where Nublense’s composure on the road could nick a result.

Recent Form

D. La Serena

W D W D L

Nublense

L W W D

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head data.

Key Statistics

Metric D. La Serena Nublense
League Position #8 #10
Points 8 7
W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1 2 / 1 / 1
Goal Difference +2 +1
Form (last 5) LDWDW DWWL
Goals Per Game 1.60 1.50
Goals Against / Game 1.20 1.25
Clean Sheet % 40% 0%
BTTS % 60% 75%
Over 2.5 % 40% 75%

League Standing

D. La Serena

Position #8
Points 8
W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
Goal Diff +2
Form
L D W D W

Nublense

Position #10
Points 7
W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
Goal Diff +1
Form
D W W L

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