Prediction

Analysis

Sion’s form is a classic tale of two extremes—they’ve won three of their last five but sandwiched those victories between back-to-back losses, which explains the WLLLW split. That inconsistency keeps them from being a true lock, yet their home advantage matters here. Thun, meanwhile, arrive in worse shape, with just one win in their last five (DWDLL) and back-to-back defeats entering this fixture. When you pair that form gap with the model’s projection—53% home win probability versus just 26% for the visitors—Sion look like the side carrying the momentum into kickoff.

The head-to-head record, though, throws a wrinkle into the narrative. Over the last four meetings, Sion have won only once and lost three times from the home perspective. That’s a worrying trend for a team that needs points to climb the Super League table. But here’s the catch: those losses don’t necessarily reflect current quality, and Thun’s away form has been shaky. The draw probability sits at 21%, which feels about right given Sion’s tendency to drop points in tight games at home, but their recent win-loss rhythm suggests they rarely settle for stalemates.

Without detailed expected-goals data to lean on, we have to trust the raw outcomes and the model’s lean. Sion’s three wins in five show they can finish chances when it clicks, while Thun’s two draws and two losses in that span point to a side that struggles to convert pressure into points. The prediction isn’t a landslide, but 53% is a meaningful edge against a Thun side that’s lost three of their last five overall. I’d expect Sion to edge this on the back of home support, even if their head-to-head history warns against compl

Recent Form

Head to Head

• FC Sion 2-0 FC Thun
• FC Thun 1-0 FC Sion
• FC Thun 2-1 FC Sion
• FC Sion 0-1 FC Thun

Key Statistics

League Standing