Prediction

Analysis

Hearts come into this one in worrying form, with three straight losses in their last five league outings. That said, their overall run of WWLLL shows they are more than capable of stringing wins together, and the home crowd at Tynecastle should provide a lift. The head-to-head record is strongly in their favor, as they’ve won three of the last five meetings against Dundee with no draws in that stretch, which suggests this fixture has often been decided by a single moment of quality.

Dundee’s away form is mixed, reading DLWWL, which points to inconsistency on the road. They did manage two wins in that sequence, so they won’t be pushovers, but their last result was a loss, and they’ll need to tighten up defensively against a Hearts side desperate to stop the rot. The model clearly favors the home side, giving Hearts a 64% win probability compared to just 15% for Dundee, with a 21% chance of a draw. That gap reflects both the quality gap on paper and the historical edge Hearts hold in this matchup.

If Hearts can replicate the intensity from their wins earlier in this form cycle, they should control the game, but Dundee’s occasional road resilience means the visitors can’t be completely written off. The likely outcome, based on these numbers, is a narrow Hearts victory, but given their recent slide, nothing is guaranteed. Expect a physical, tight contest where set pieces and individual errors could decide it.

Recent Form

Head to Head

• Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Dundee
• Dundee 1-0 Heart Of Midlothian
• Dundee 0-1 Heart Of Midlothian
• Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 Dundee
• Heart Of Midlothian 0-1 Dundee

Key Statistics

League Standing