Prediction

Analysis

Kristiansund BK return to their own patch in a rough patch of form, having lost three of their last five (DLWLL). That skid is exactly why the model gives them just a 21% chance to take all three points. Their one win in that stretch shows they can produce a result, but the consistency isn’t there, and facing a Tromso side that just snapped a poor run of their own with a win is a terrible time to find your footing. Even at home, you’d want to see more than one victory in five to trust them.

Tromso’s form reads DLDLW — ugly for four matches, then a victory last time out. That late win carries weight, especially since the model slaps them with a 52% probability on the road, which is a hefty number in this league. They’ve also got the head-to-head edge over the last five meetings from Kristiansund’s perspective: two wins for the hosts, but two losses and a draw means Tromso have taken points in three of those five. The away side’s recent breakthrough likely shifts momentum, while Kristiansund’s tailspin suggests they’ll struggle to impose themselves.

With the draw at 27%, the match isn’t a foregone conclusion, but the numbers lean clearly toward the visitors. Kristiansund’s two H2H wins prove they can beat Tromso, but their current DLWLL trajectory versus Tromso’s DLDLW — ending in a victory — points to an away side with a bit more belief. I’d back the model here: Tromso to leave with something, likely all three, but don’t ignore that draw as a safety net if the hosts tighten up.

Recent Form

Head to Head

• Tromso 2-0 Kristiansund BK
• Kristiansund BK 1-3 Tromso
• Tromso 2-3 Kristiansund BK
• Tromso 0-0 Kristiansund BK
• Kristiansund BK 1-0 Tromso

Key Statistics

League Standing