Prediction

Analysis

Molde’s recent league form reads WWLDL, which tells you they’re capable of explosive bursts but have also dropped points in two of their last five. That inconsistency is the main concern for a side expected to control this tie. Contrast that with KFUM Oslo’s away form of LDWWD: they’ve only lost once on the road in that stretch, and they’ve picked up two wins and two draws. So while Molde might be the better side on paper, KFUM arrive with genuine momentum and a habit of making things awkward away from home.

The head-to-head record makes this even more interesting. Over the last four meetings, the home perspective shows zero wins for Molde, with two draws and two losses. That’s a clear red flag if you’re backing the hosts at full value. KFUM have already proven they can get results against Molde, and they won’t be intimidated by the occasion. The model’s prediction still leans heavily toward Molde at 66%, with the draw at 15% and KFUM at 19% — so the data suggests Molde are clear favourites, but the past meetings and KFUM’s recent away form create a real upset angle.

Given the split between Molde’s shaky form and their dominant probability rating, this feels like a match where the hosts should win, but not without a fight. KFUM’s ability to grind out draws and even steal wins on the road means Molde need to be sharp from the first whistle. If they repeat the sloppiness seen in their losses, the 19% for KFUM could look generous — but the 66% home win still remains the most likely single outcome. The key is whether Molde can break a run that has seen them winless in four against this opponent.

Recent Form

Head to Head

• KFUM Oslo 0-0 Molde
• Molde 2-3 KFUM Oslo
• KFUM Oslo 1-1 Molde
• Molde 2-3 KFUM Oslo

Key Statistics

League Standing