Prediction

Analysis

St Johnstone’s recent form is a classic Jekyll-and-Hyde split: they’ve taken two wins from their last five (DLLWW), but those victories bookend a grim three-game patch without a point. That inconsistency is exactly why the model gives them just a 26% chance here. Their head-to-head record against Hibernian is the real red flag—over the last five meetings, they’ve managed only one win and one draw against three defeats. So while the home crowd might point to those back-to-back wins as momentum, the underlying pattern suggests they’ve been beating weaker sides while struggling against teams with more structure.

Hibernian arrive with less dramatic swings, but the numbers are hardly inspiring: LWLDD over their last five. That’s two draws and two losses in their most recent four, meaning their only win in that stretch is a single bright spot. Yet the model still sees them as clear favorites at 48%, compared to 26% for St Johnstone and another 26% for the draw. That gap likely reflects quality and the head-to-head edge, even if Hibs haven’t been converting those advantages into consistent results lately.

The practical takeaway: this is a game where St Johnstone’s leaky periods—those three losses—feel more representative than their two wins, and Hibs’ underlying superiority is enough to outweigh their own poor recent scoring output. With the draw also priced at 26%, the data strongly suggests Hibernian avoid defeat, but their failure to turn solid spells into wins keeps this from being a banker. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair where Hibs’ edge in the matchup history—three wins in five—is the most reliable guide.

Recent Form

Head to Head

• Hibernian 3-0 ST Johnstone
• ST Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian
• Hibernian 2-0 ST Johnstone
• ST Johnstone 1-3 Hibernian
• Hibernian 1-2 ST Johnstone

Key Statistics

League Standing